With 63% risk of being out, Argentina can go to the recap until defeat.

Post by: Emanuel Bueno Alves e Yago Oliveira Bomfim Dias.

2º Ano - Redes De Computadores.

The 0-0 draw with Peru complicated Argentina's chances to go to the World Cup, putting pressure on Jorge Sampaoli's team for the final round of the tournament when they will face Ecuador at the altitude of Quito. According to statistics from the Getúlio Vargas Foundation (FGV), the brothers have a 63% chance of staying out of the next World Cup (finishing below fifth place in the Qualifiers), a number that may scare fans. However, with the table of the tournament "jammed", the Argentines can go to the recapture even with a defeat.

What does Argentina need?
"Los hermanos" more optimistic can stick to a fact: to stay alive in the fight for a vacancy still depends only on Argentina itself because a victory over Ecuador puts the team at least in fifth place, regardless of other results. But what do Argentines need for a direct spot? Is the classification in Brazil's hand? GloboEsporte.com took the calculator and verified all the chances of Argentina to go (or not) to the 2018 World Cup in Russia. With the results of this Thursday, only Brazil remains guaranteed, while the other three places and qualification to the recapture against New Zealand remain open.

·               If Ecuador wins

A simple win against Ecuador takes Argentina to at least fifth place in the World Cup play-off zone against New Zealand. However, the result can still put the Argentines right into the World Cup. To do this, you must twist for at least one of these combinations:

1.           Chile draw or lose to Brazil at the Palmeiras Arena.
2.           Peru and Colombia draw, in Lima.
3.           Peru defeats Colombia, but for a smaller balance than that of Argentina against Ecuador (ex: Argentina 2 to 0, and Peru 1 to 0).

·               Draw with Ecuador

With a draw, Argentina would go to 26 points and, at most, would get a place in the recap. To do this, you need two results from three possible ones to happen:

1.          Peru to lose to Colombia in Lima.
2.          Paraguay does not win Venezuela in Asunción.
3.          Chile lose by more than one goal to Brazil.

If two of those results do not happen, Argentina is out of the World Cup with a draw.

·              

                 If you lose to Ecuador

Argentina are likely to be in fifth place, the repechage zone, even if defeated against Ecuador. To do so, it needs two other combined results: a Peru defeat by greater goal difference than its own setback and a tie or defeat of Paraguay against Venezuela.